Stellar's (XLM) Potential Price Surpassing $0.50 Suggested by Golden Cross Indicator's Signal Change, Implying Next Price Target

Stellar's (XLM) Potential Price Surpassing $0.50 Suggested by Golden Cross Indicator's Signal Change, Implying Next Price Target

In a significant development for the cryptocurrency market, Stellar (XLM) has recently shown a bullish technical pattern known as a golden cross. This occurs when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average, often serving as a strong indicator of a potential long-term uptrend.

This event, which has coincided with a price surge of over 104% in July 2025, has pushed XLM from about $0.222 to above $0.52, making it one of the best-performing altcoins for the month[1][2][4].

The golden cross on the daily chart is widely interpreted as a strong indicator of a potential long-term uptrend. Historically, when Stellar experienced this pattern in December 2024, it triggered a rally that peaked near $0.634[1][2][4]. Current technicals show the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at approximately $0.297, approaching the 200-day SMA near $0.31, signaling that the golden cross may soon finalize[1][2].

Besides this technical signal, Stellar's outlook is further bolstered by ongoing network upgrades under Protocol 23. This update features eight Core Advancement Proposals aimed at improving network efficiency. These developments were tested on the testnet on June 30, 2025, with a mainnet vote scheduled for August 14, 2025[1][2]. These improvements are expected to boost investor confidence and contribute to the upward momentum.

Prominent market analysts, such as trader Peter Brandt, have voiced optimism about Stellar’s chart, suggesting that if XLM maintains above key support levels and decisively closes above $1, it could begin a major new phase of gains[2]. The $1 target implies nearly doubling from current prices, which, while ambitious, is considered plausible under continued bullish technicals and market momentum[2][4].

However, it's important to note that the price trajectory is not guaranteed and could be volatile as it moves into the second half of 2025[3]. Some recent analysis points to mixed technical signals, including potential correction risks and bearish crossover possibilities. The crypto market’s maturity and broader sentiment shifts remain factors that could influence XLM's path.

In summary, the golden cross formation is a strong bullish indicator, historically linked with upward price rallies for XLM. Stellar’s price surged 104% in July 2025, currently around $0.52. Network upgrades under Protocol 23 add fundamental support. Analysts project a potential test of the $1 price level, contingent on maintaining support and market conditions. However, the price remains susceptible to corrections and volatility, so risks persist despite the bullish setup.

This combination of technical and fundamental factors makes Stellar’s near-term outlook optimistic but not without uncertainty[1][2][3][4]. If July closes on a bullish note, Stellar would have maintained a record six-year streak for the month. Additionally, Stellar is registering increased trading volume and has climbed into the green zone by 0.99% at $397.73 million. Peter Brandt, a veteran commodity trader, suggests that Stellar's technical charts indicate breakout potential in the near future.

[1] CoinMarketCap. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Chart. [Online]. Available: https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/stellar/

[2] Brandt, P. (2025). Twitter Post. [Online]. Available: https://twitter.com/PeterLBrandt/status/1418019995585539073

[3] CryptoSlate. (2025). Stellar Price Analysis: XLM Faces Key Resistance as Bulls Aim for $1. [Online]. Available: https://cryptoslate.com/stellar-price-analysis-xlm-faces-key-resistance-as-bulls-aim-for-1/

[4] NewsBTC. (2025). Stellar (XLM) Price Prediction 2025: Will XLM Hit $1? [Online]. Available: https://www.newsbtc.com/2025/07/05/stellar-xlm-price-prediction-2025-will-xlm-hit-1/

1. The golden cross on Stellar's chart, combined with its 104% price surge in July 2025, suggests a potential long-term uptrend in the cryptocurrency market, further bolstered by network upgrades under Protocol 23.
2. If Stellar's price manages to decisively close above $1, as suggested by some market analysts, it could initiate a major new phase of gains, nearly doubling from its current price, amid continued bullish technicals and market momentum.
3. However, it's crucial to remember that the cryptocurrency market, including Stellar, remains volatile, with risks of corrections and bearish crossovers, especially as the market matures and sentiment shifts.

Read also: