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Anticipated Decrease in Smartphone Demand According to MediaTek Predictions

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MediaTek's Mixed Tariff Impact and AI-focused Growth Strategy

Anticipated Decrease in Smartphone Demand According to MediaTek Predictions

In a volatile consumer electronics market, MediaTek CEO Rick Tsai announced that the company expects a decrease in revenue this quarter by 4 percent at most. The expected revenue range is between NT$147.2 billion and NT$159.4 billion (US$4.6 billion - US$4.98 billion), compared to NT$153.31 billion last quarter [1].

MediaTek forecasts a gross margin of 46 to 49 percent for this quarter, a slight decrease from the 48.1 percent gross margin last quarter [1]. Despite market uncertainties, MediaTek does not anticipate any material order changes from customers due to the long production cycle time [2].

Tariff impacts remain limited for MediaTek, as the US market only accounts for 10 percent of its overall revenue [3]. The company has not provided its full-year growth projection for 2025 due to the potential impact from US tariffs and trade policies [1][3].

Short-term cautiousness notwithstanding, MediaTek continues to focus on the long-term growth prospects of AI. In collaboration with NVIDIA, MediaTek aims to generate over $1 billion in revenue from AI-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) by 2026 [3][5].

The company's media processing unit (MPU) saw rapid growth in Q1 2025, with revenue surging by 32% YoY, driven by edge devices and smart-home demand [5]. Similarly, premium smartphone demand has contributed to a rise in MediaTek's Q1 2025 revenue, which increased by 14.9% YoY to NT$153.3 billion ($4.6 billion) [4][5].

MediaTek also expressed optimism about the prospects of its Dimensity Auto platform in the automotive market and its AIoT segment [5]. With these initiatives, MediaTek aims to offset potential tariff risks and achieve "positive 2025" results, despite lingering concerns about slowing smartphone demand and global trade policy shifts [5].

In summary, MediaTek faces mixed impacts from potential US tariffs, balancing short-term caution with long-term optimism driven by AI demand. The company's ability to offset tariff risks hinges on its execution in AI and automotive markets, which are less susceptible to US trade actions.

  1. Longevity of US Tariff Risk for MediaTek Hinges on AI and Auto Markets
  2. MediaTek: Tariff Concerns Partly Reason for Caution in 2H 2025
  3. How Taiwan Tech Firms Face Potential US Tariffs
  4. MediaTek Q1 2025 Net Profit Falls 7% Year-on-Year
  5. MediaTek reports Q1 2025 revenue, provides updates on strategic growth areas
  6. Despite the potential US tariff risks, Tsai remains optimistic about MediaTek's long-term growth prospects, particularly in the AI and automotive markets.
  7. In collaboration with NVIDIA, MediaTek aims to generate over $1 billion in revenue from AI-specific integrated circuits (ASICs) by 2026, as part of its emphasis on technology innovation.
  8. The company's focus on AI and the automotive market is an essential part of its strategy to offset potential tariff risks and achieve positive results in 2025.
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